Being an astronomer in the year 2030 will be notably different than it is today. Yes, scientists will still be pondering, among other mysteries, the evolving universe, life on other worlds, and the nature of dark energy.
But how they explore the universe is already changing. This is partly driven by the fact that we are riding an exponential curve of increasing telescope size and detector sensitivity, but much more importantly, huge amounts of observational data are being harvested and archived faster than astronomers can analyze.
In addition, amateur astronomers are becoming more heavily involved in this analysis than in recent decades because of the “democratization” of space via huge, publicly accessible astronomical databases.
The consequences are that we are on the cusp of a knowledge explosion in astronomy, where discoveries expand at an unprecedented rate across the globe. Our knowledge of the universe is becoming, well, inflationary.
One prime example is the Barbara A. Mikulski Archive for Space Telescopes (MAST), housed at the Space Telescope Science Institute. This remarkably vast database contains astronomical observations from 15 NASA space astronomy missions, including the Hubble Space Telescope and the James Webb Space Telescope.
MAST presently contains approximately 200 terabytes of data that are used and reused many times by astronomers. New data are constantly flowing into the archive, but even more data is flowing out. Today, more than half of published scientific papers containing Hubble data used archival observations. This number has increased steadily over the past five years.
Facilities like MAST will lead to a new breed of “office-chair astronomer” who explores a “virtual universe” of vast, interconnected online databases. This is called the Virtual Observatory, and it is now in its developmental period.
What’s more, “citizen scientists” — those without formal degrees in astronomy — will have open and free access to the same data mines to make their own discoveries.
In 2030, a typical day for an astronomer on a university campus will have her start her work by looking at a list of science papers that have been intelligently selected by a software tool that surfed the Internet overnight. She clicks on an object in an online science paper and the Virtual Observatory database delivers views in X-ray, visible light, and infrared and radio observations. She queries the archive to perform an intelligent search, pulling up information relevant to the questions she’s asking about the object.
She never goes to a mountain top observatory to do follow-up observations of the object. Instead this is all carried out autonomously, following acceptance of her observing proposal. Automatically processed and calibrated observations are quickly delivered for high-level analysis after the observation. This online pipeline processing of data is a procedure pioneered on the Hubble Space Telescope mission, which has amassed 60 terabytes of observations to date.
Her observation goes into the Virtual Observatory archive after a brief proprietary period. Her unrefereed science results are soon published online. Peers and lay readers comment on the results, which are disseminated through social media. Her formally accepted paper is next published freely in an open-access online journal. Students in impoverished third-world universities have the same access to her results as a Harvard astrophysicist does.
Armchair astronomers will focus on complex and innovative queries of the Virtual Observatory to automatically search and extract precise sets of observations made by a variety of telescopes. Researchers will make new discoveries purely by being able to cleverly combine data from different wavelengths, spectra, and transient changes in space.
Many thousands more inquiring minds will be able to explore the databases, too. A prototype for this is the Galaxy Zoo project, where members of the public classify galaxies found in astronomical data. In 2007, Dutch schoolteacher Hanny van Arkel was participating in the Galaxy Zoo project when she found a huge, ghostly, glowing blob of gas, an oddity illuminated by a beam of light from a black hole in the core of a nearby galaxy.
We are just beginning to ride the wave of incredible new insights into our universe.










